Economic Indicators
Below are links to a few of the many resources that we follow on a continuous basis to track the economy and financial markets on a short-term and long-term basis.
Real-Time and Current Economic Conditions
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions (ADS) Index is designed to track real business conditions at high frequency. Click Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index to access this model.
Click GDPNow to access The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow Forecasting Model.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Nowcast report tracks the evolution of the FRBNY Staff Nowcast of GDP growth and the impact of new data releases on the forecast. Click Nowcast to access the report and background information on the report.
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure. Click CFNAI to access this index.
Economy At A Glance
The National Economic Trends charts provided by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) can be accessed by clicking the Economy At A Glance link below:
Gross Output
Gross Output is a measure that may be more useful than the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measure, as it looks at the top line of national income accounting. It is also a good measure to use in conjunction with GDP to get a better overall picture of the economy. This measure can be accessed by clicking the links below:
Surveys of Professional Forecasters
The Survey of Professional Forecasters’ web page offers the actual releases, documentation, mean and median forecasts of all the respondents in the Fed’s Survey of Professional Forecasters. Click the following link to be taken to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s website to access the current survey: Survey of Professional Forecasters.
The Livingston Survey of Professional Forecasters’ web page offers the actual releases, documentation, mean and median forecasts of all the respondents in the Fed’s Livingston Survey. Click the following link to be taken to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s website to access the current survey: Livingston Survey.
Econoday
Econoday offers some excellent resources for understanding and forecasting the economy. The link below takes you to Econoday’s Economic Calendar and Economic Events and Analysis sections. Please see Econoday’s Economic Calendar for upcoming economic reporting events in the week and months ahead.
AAII Investor Sentiment Survey
The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market for the next six months: AAII Investor Sentiment Survey.